Draft picks and NCAA tournament wins

In my free time I've done quite a bit of analysis of the NCAA tournaments since 2003, particularly their relation to the Kenpom data. But I haven't had much time to really dig into the results or blog about them. Today, however, I saw a tweet about how Louisville has had only two players drafted since entering the Big East. That reminded me that I've compiled a set of data that lists all the First Round picks teams have had since 2003 and compares that to how many NCAA tournament games they've won in that span. One thing to note: this data does not include players that will be drafted this year, which explains why Michigan doesn't appear yet. (Actually I've put Michigan in at the bottom as one of the teams with zero first round picks but more than five tourney wins. That will change this summer, obviously.) Anyhow, here it is, sorted first by 1st round picks, and then by wins:

Team	Actual Ws	1st Rd Pix
North Carolina	28	13
Kansas	30	11
Connecticut	23	11
Kentucky	22	11
Duke	24	9
Texas	15	9
Ohio State	17	7
Florida	23	6
Syracuse	20	6
UCLA	15	6
Washington	8	6
Arizona	14	5
Georgia Tech	7	5
Wake	5	5
Louisville	22	4
Illinois	11	4
Georgetown	8	4
Boston College	5	4
Memphis	15	3
Marquette	13	3
Oklahoma State	8	3
North Carolina State	6	3
Oregon	6	3
Stanford	4	3
Nevada	4	3
Florida State	3	3
Michigan State	23	2
Wisconsin	15	2
Xavier	14	2
Villanova	12	2
Gonzaga	11	2
Virginia Commonwealth	7	2
Baylor	6	2
Missouri	5	2
Texas A&M	5	2
LSU	5	2
Vandy	5	2
Brigham Young	4	2
St. Joes	3	2
Southern Cal	3	2
New Mexico	2	2
Arizona State	2	2
Colorado	1	2
Butler	16	1
West Virginia	12	1
Purdue	9	1
Oklahoma	8	1
Tennessee	8	1
Indiana	7	1
Maryland	6	1
Kansas State	6	1
Cincinnati	5	1
Nevada Las Vegas	5	1
San Diego St.	3	1
Mississippi State	3	1
Washington State	3	1
Cal	3	1
Iowa State	3	1
Davidson	3	1
Utah	2	1
Temple	2	1
Arkansas	1	1
Minnesota	1	1
Colorado State	1	1
St. Johns	0	1
South Carolina	0	1
Georgia	0	1
Pitt	13	0
Michigan	7	0
Wichita State	6	0
George Mason	5	0

Obviously, there's a strong correlation between first-round talent and NCAA wins:

Unsurprisingly, Wisconsin is among the outliers. Only Michigan State and Butler have won more NCAA games with two or fewer first-round picks since 2003. What's more, only those two teams and Louisville have won more games with five or fewer first-round picks.

I'm sure the results would be even more stark if either restricted to "lottery picks" or expanded to second-round picks.