Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Roy Boone's Summer League? Roy Boone's Summer League!

As I am an occasional luddite, I was unaware of existence of what appears to be the 57th Wonder of the World, Roy Boone's Summer League-
 

Holy Crap!  It's like waking up one morning, just to find your pillow is made of Golden Fleece.

Just thought this would be a good place to post it for future reference.  We should check this out.


Thursday, October 9, 2014

Thoughts on the Big East & T-Rank

The most vociferous criticism of the T-Rank results has been about the Big East projections, so I thought I'd take a moment to discuss them here.

Here are the T-Rank projections for the Big East:

T-Rank Team Pyth Proj Hanner
18 Villanova 0.8960 1
36 Butler 0.8047 9
42 Creighton 0.7885 8
50 Georgetown 0.7722 2
74 Xavier 0.7190 3
80 Marquette 0.7087 5
90 Seton Hall 0.6851 7
96 St. John's 0.6740 4
118 Providence 0.5866 6
186 DePaul 0.4320 10

The fourth column is the projected Big East rankings published by Dan Hanner, which tracks the more conventional wisdom.

So there are some clear outliers here, and I would certainly rank the teams differently. The ones that stick out are Butler, Creighton (both too high) and Providence (too low). So what went wrong?

Well, maybe nothing. One of the reasons to do this was to maybe gain some insights where conventional wisdom could be wrong. Is this one of those cases? Probably not! (But I'll be rooting for Creighton and Butler this year, obviously.)

Butler

I've already explained part of what is going on with Butler in the comments to my post at B5Q. Conventional wisdom sees Butler as a program that has lost its mojo because its wunderkind coach has gone to the NBA. T-Rank is blind to that because it doesn't directly account for coaching. Instead, it looks at prior program performance. So coaching changes, particularly ones where a mid-major loses a star coach, can muck things up pretty well.

What T-Rank does like about Butler is the return of a very, very good player (Roosevelt Jones) joining three other decent upperclassmen after a down year for a solid program. So it basically projects Butler to be similar to the team it was the year before last. Most think that won't happen, but it is within the realm of possibility.

One of the hardest things for me to figure out how to model was how to handle this situation where an injured player comes back after sitting out all or most of a year. For one thing, I'm probably not aware of all or even most of these situations, so it might provide a relative boost for the high profile programs that I do get news about. It also mucks up one of the basic inputs to the ranking -- returning minutes. This is something I'll be taking a look at next off-season to see whether the model is better without even accounting for these scenarios.

Creighton

Creighton is a similar story in that it is really hard for the T-Rank model to predict sudden, massive declines. The model is based on the assumption that most programs, most of the time, will progress or decline in a linear fashion from year to year. This is a reasonable and useful assumption, but it will be false in lots of cases. Most people think Creighton is such a case because it loses a superstar, Doug McDermott*, who has propped up the program for the three-year look-back period. They also lose three other seniors. So there's very good reason to think that Creighton will take a huge step back this year.

And, for what it's worth, T-Rank expects Creighton to take a big step back -- last year Creighton was a 3-seed in the tourney, and this year T-Rank projects it as a bubble team at #42. Still, it is common for good teams to lose great players and just reload (think Kentucky, Duke, Kansas, etc.), so that has to be accounted for in the model. Is Creighton likely to reload? Probably not, and that's the issue.

Providence College

On the other end of the spectrum, Providence projected at ninth looks crazy and I agree. But this is actually a scenario where -- as long you take the actual numbers with skepticism -- the T-Rank can maybe provide some helpful insight. There's a pretty good chance people are overrating Providence this year. Dan Hanner's comments were right on, in my opinion:
But despite a very positive outlook in the long-run, 2014-15 looks like a bit of a transition year. First, this team barely snuck into the NCAA tournament last year. They may have given North Carolina a scare, but their margin-of-victory was only 51st in the nation. And losing Bryce Cotton, their most efficient player, their best passer, their best scorer, and a player who never left the floor, is going to hurt.
Second, the team is going to have to give more minutes to freshmen. Last year with Brandon Austin and Rodney Bullock suspended, Providence basically never used any first-year players. This year with Bullock eligible and an outstanding recruiting class coming in, Providence projects to give substantially more minutes to its young players. And while many of them are talented, playing inexperienced players will lead to more mistakes. There will be games where players don’t rotate properly defensively, and games where players simply stand around and don’t run the offensive sets with the same crispness of a veteran team. 
And while many of the names sounds scary, many of the players don’t have great projections for this season. PG Kris Dunn was an elite recruit, but he has struggled massively with injuries, and hasn’t been able to perform at an elite level in his two seasons with the team. That may mean more minutes for freshman PG Kyron Cartwright. Meanwhile Carson Desrosiers is a quality shot-blocking big man, but he is a very passive offensive player. And while transfer Junior Lomomba has received some positive reviews on the team’s European tour, he didn’t have great efficiency numbers at Cleveland St. That doesn’t necessarily bode well for him being an efficient player in the Big East. Rodney Bullock seems like a household name at this point because of the off-court issues, but I also think we need to recognize that he was only a 3-star recruit. He does not necessarily project as a star. Honestly, the true freshmen may be deserving of the most love. Paschal Chukwu and Jalen Lindsey were both consensus Top 100 recruits, and Ben Bentil may be the most polished of the young big men.
T-Rank especially penalizes PC for the loss of superstar Bryce Cotton. This is an example of how it's almost impossible to create an objective model that really accounts for all situations: the Creighton ranking is probably too high because it doesn't fully account for the loss of superstar Doug McDermott*; but in tweaking the model to account for that more, Providence got punished more for the loss of superstar Bryce Cotton. 

Be Humble, Big East Fans

Finally, although I fully agree that no human should rank Butler or Creighton as contenders in the Big East, and no one should relegate Providence to also-ran status, overall I think the craziness of the T-Rank for the Big East (and it's worth noting that the Big East projection is by far the most removed from conventional wisdom) may be telling us something: it could be a crazy year in the Big East. And we don't have to look back very far to see something similar. Why, just last year, Marquette was the unanimous preseason pick to win the conference, and they ended up missing the NIT! Most projections had Villanova (the eventual champion) outside the top 3, and neither they nor Creighton was ranked in the preseason AP poll. (Only Marquette was.)

So I think the idea that the Big East is an easily predictable conference is fanciful. So many teams are in transition, so many teams have new identities - let's not pretend we know how this is going to turn out. T-Rank certainly doesn't!

[message from T-Rank: ****T-RANK DOES NOT PRETEND TO KNOW BECAUSE T-RANK ACTUALLY KNOWS****end transmission]

Okay, T-Rank, okay. Never mind.

*Kind of funny that I consistently referred to Doug McDermott as "Doug Creighton" throughout this post.

Wednesday, October 8, 2014

Bounce Back

I have started this year 2-0 getting both the spread and o/u last week against Northwestern. UW is a 25 1/2 point favorite at home this week against IL and the o/u is 58. IL is missing their starting quarterback, they are not a good team to start with, and UW plays well at home. This has inflated the spread which seems high for a team that only scored 14 against Northwestern and struggled to score 27 at home against another terrible team- South Florida.
I'm on board the Stave bandwagon. The Stave effect will blow up this week, and I predict UW will cover the spread. I'm taking the over this week and as a prop bet I will take UW to cover the over by themselves. Final score prediction 63-7.

Saturday, October 4, 2014

UW vs Northwestern

I am going to make my first trip to Dyke stadium today for the Badger Game (no Ryan field bullshit here). I have decided that trying to predict this Badger team is most likely pointless, but I will do so anyway. They are just too young to be consistent. While they played in a sort of road game in friendly LSU territory, this will be the first true road test for many of these players. Although there will likely will be more UW fans at the game today than NW fans, so this isn't really a true road game either.
UW is an 8 point favorite, and the o/u is 47, as both these teams have shown they can play defense, but can struggle to score. I am predicting a close game as is often the case when Bucky comes to Dyke, so I am taking Northwestern and the points. A 47 under seems low when you think of how many times UW has scored that many points by themselves over the last few years. I think it is right on. I expect a tight defensive struggle today and will take the under.
UW wins 20-17.

Friday, October 3, 2014

T-RANK 2015


College basketball season started today. Well, practice anyway. This also marks the end of my off-season project to improve the T-Rank. I have expanded it to all 351 teams after last year's pilot project. And I've done my best to keep up with hundreds of transfers, etc. I'm sure I've failed. But you've got to draw line somewhere, and here's mine.

There will be outliers, of course, but overall I'm pretty happy with how this turned out. Louisville at number one sticks out, but everyone thinks they're a contender with Harrell back, so I'm not too worried about that. ESPN came out with their "top 25 teams to watch" a few days ago, and 22 of them are in the T-Rank top 25. Harvard (47), UConn (40) and San Diego St. (30) are replaced in the T-Rank top 25 by Pitt (19), Kansas St. (21), and Colorado (25). So the top 18 teams in the T-Rank are in the ESPN top 25.

I plan to have a bunch of follow up posts using the T-Rank data over at Bucky's Fifth Quarter, but I thought it would be good to just get the whole list out in the open now. Here it is!

UPDATE: Because I can't help myself, I'll continue to add transfer / injury data so that the final T-Rank on Basketball Eve is as good as it can be. Change in rank from originally published ranking is noted in fifth column.

T-Rank Team Conf. Pyth Proj Rank Change
1 Louisville ACC 0.9577 0
2 Kansas B12 0.9527 0
3 Arizona P12 0.9466 0
4 Wisconsin B10 0.9464 0
5 Gonzaga WCC 0.9404 0
6 Duke ACC 0.9335 0
7 Kentucky SEC 0.9323 0
8 North Carolina ACC 0.9313 0
9 Michigan St. B10 0.9289 0
10 Virginia ACC 0.9232 0
11 Florida SEC 0.9187 0
12 Wichita St. MVC 0.9144 0
13 Iowa St. B12 0.9121 0
14 Pittsburgh ACC 0.9080 5
15 Kansas St. B12 0.9055 6
16 Michigan B10 0.9051 -1
17 Oklahoma B12 0.9032 -1
18 Ohio St. B10 0.8982 -1
19 Villanova BE 0.8960 -1
20 Texas B12 0.8922 -6
21 VCU A10 0.8898 -1
22 Mississippi SEC 0.8861 10
23 SMU Amer 0.8574 -1
24 Syracuse ACC 0.8550 -1
25 Utah P12 0.8546 -1
26 Colorado P12 0.8531 -1
27 Minnesota B10 0.8506 -1
28 Iowa B10 0.8465 -1
29 Alabama SEC 0.8460 10
30 Northern Iowa MVC 0.8443 -2
31 Illinois B10 0.8401 -2
32 San Diego St. MWC 0.8349 -2
33 North Carolina St. ACC 0.8321 -2
34 Baylor B12 0.8267 -1
35 Notre Dame ACC 0.8253 -1
36 Indiana B10 0.8211 -1
37 BYU WCC 0.8050 0
38 Butler BE 0.8047 -2
39 Nebraska B10 0.8039 -1
40 Connecticut Amer 0.8027 0
41 Columbia Ivy 0.7906 0
42 Creighton BE 0.7885 0
43 West Virginia B12 0.7845 17
44 Memphis Amer 0.7836 18
45 UCLA P12 0.7834 -2
46 Miami FL ACC 0.7816 -2
47 Florida St. ACC 0.7799 -2
48 Stanford P12 0.7793 -2
49 Harvard Ivy 0.7775 -2
50 Murray St. OVC 0.7745 -2
51 Georgetown BE 0.7722 -2
52 Oklahoma St. B12 0.7679 -2
53 Saint Mary's WCC 0.7651 -2
54 UC Irvine BW 0.7626 -2
55 California P12 0.7540 -2
56 Washington P12 0.7523 24
57 Tennessee SEC 0.7493 2
58 Dayton A10 0.7492 -4
59 Stephen F. Austin Slnd 0.7476 -3
60 Cincinnati Amer 0.7465 -3
61 Green Bay Horz 0.7459 -6
62 Arkansas SEC 0.7454 -4
63 New Mexico MWC 0.7424 -2
64 LSU SEC 0.7345 19
65 Denver Sum 0.7331 -2
66 Colorado St. MWC 0.7295 -2
67 Siena MAAC 0.7293 -2
68 Belmont OVC 0.7281 -2
69 Purdue B10 0.7277 24
70 La Salle A10 0.7275 33
71 Maryland B10 0.7262 -4
72 Richmond A10 0.7252 18
73 Georgia St. SB 0.7242 -3
74 Boise St. MWC 0.7238 -6
75 Boston College ACC 0.7228 -6
76 George Washington A10 0.7209 -5
77 Toledo MAC 0.7206 -5
78 Xavier BE 0.7190 -5
79 Marquette BE 0.7174 -2
80 Georgia SEC 0.7174 -6
81 Louisiana Tech CUSA 0.7146 18
82 New Mexico St. WAC 0.7112 -7
83 Massachusetts A10 0.7092 9
84 Evansville MVC 0.7089 -8
85 Tulsa Amer 0.7062 -7
86 Rhode Island A10 0.7061 8
87 Saint Louis A10 0.7049 -8
88 Clemson ACC 0.6973 -7
89 Davidson A10 0.6971 -7
90 Iona MAAC 0.6889 -6
91 Fresno St. MWC 0.6880 -6
92 Seton Hall BE 0.6851 -5
93 UNLV MWC 0.6837 -5
94 South Carolina SEC 0.6836 -8
95 UTEP CUSA 0.6832 -6
96 Texas A&M SEC 0.6788 -5
97 St. John's BE 0.6740 -2
98 Penn St. B10 0.6652 -2
99 Old Dominion CUSA 0.6640 -2
100 Wyoming MWC 0.6611 1
101 Oregon P12 0.6564 -3
102 Manhattan MAAC 0.6557 -2
103 Long Beach St. BW 0.6493 -1
104 Lafayette Pat 0.6452 0
105 Princeton Ivy 0.6337 0
106 American Pat 0.6311 0
107 Saint Joseph's A10 0.6273 0
108 Missouri SEC 0.6222 16
109 San Diego WCC 0.6173 7
110 St. Bonaventure A10 0.6162 -2
111 Illinois St. MVC 0.6152 -2
112 Northeastern CAA 0.6063 -2
113 San Francisco WCC 0.6041 -2
114 Portland WCC 0.6033 -2
115 Western Michigan MAC 0.6003 39
116 Georgia Tech ACC 0.5989 10
117 Army Pat 0.5986 -3
118 Holy Cross Pat 0.5978 -5
119 Arizona St. P12 0.5941 0
120 Southern Miss CUSA 0.5936 -5
121 Providence BE 0.5866 8
122 Middle Tennessee CUSA 0.5830 -4
123 Akron MAC 0.5768 -3
124 Northwestern St. Slnd 0.5751 -3
125 Charlotte CUSA 0.5727 -3
126 Yale Ivy 0.5666 -3
127 Temple Amer 0.5647 -2
128 Santa Clara WCC 0.5634 -1
129 Brown Ivy 0.5616 -1
130 Auburn SEC 0.5555 14
131 Radford BSth 0.5547 -1
132 Tulane Amer 0.5518 0
133 Dartmouth Ivy 0.5494 -2
134 George Mason A10 0.5475 -1
135 Detroit Horz 0.5441 -1
136 East Carolina Amer 0.5387 -1
137 Florida Gulf Coast ASun 0.5384 -1
138 Rutgers B10 0.5380 -1
139 Missouri St. MVC 0.5344 -1
140 USC P12 0.5290 51
141 Texas Tech B12 0.5257 -1
142 Louisiana Lafayette SB 0.5242 -3
143 North Dakota St. Sum 0.5227 -2
144 Valparaiso Horz 0.5219 -2
145 Cleveland St. Horz 0.5206 -28
146 Kent St. MAC 0.5172 -3
147 Northwestern B10 0.5155 3
148 Indiana St. MVC 0.5107 -3
149 Wake Forest ACC 0.5090 -3
150 UC Santa Barbara BW 0.5015 -3
151 Buffalo MAC 0.4963 -3
152 Eastern Washington BSky 0.4936 -3
153 Duquesne A10 0.4903 -2
154 Wofford SC 0.4888 -2
155 Central Michigan MAC 0.4882 -2
156 UCF Amer 0.4787 -1
157 Oral Roberts Sum 0.4782 -1
158 South Dakota St. Sum 0.4774 -1
159 William & Mary CAA 0.4770 -1
160 Southern Illinois MVC 0.4728 -1
161 Drexel CAA 0.4698 -1
162 Washington St. P12 0.4696 -1
163 Quinnipiac MAAC 0.4671 -1
164 Weber St. BSky 0.4668 -1
165 High Point BSth 0.4661 -1
166 Bucknell Pat 0.4641 -1
167 Sam Houston St. Slnd 0.4631 2
168 North Florida ASun 0.4618 -1
169 Hartford AE 0.4614 -1
170 IPFW Sum 0.4595 -4
171 Oregon St. P12 0.4586 -1
172 Cal Poly BW 0.4578 -1
173 Mercer SC 0.4567 -1
174 UNC Asheville BSth 0.4567 -1
175 Loyola Chicago MVC 0.4554 -1
176 Ohio MAC 0.4532 -1
177 North Carolina Central MEAC 0.4480 -1
178 Houston Amer 0.4453 19
179 Vanderbilt SEC 0.4432 -2
180 Pepperdine WCC 0.4428 -2
181 Coastal Carolina BSth 0.4392 -2
182 Northern Kentucky ASun 0.4379 -2
183 Air Force MWC 0.4375 -2
184 Stony Brook AE 0.4346 -2
185 Arkansas Little Rock SB 0.4340 -2
186 Western Kentucky CUSA 0.4335 -2
187 Fordham A10 0.4327 -2
188 DePaul BE 0.4320 -2
189 Lehigh Pat 0.4310 -2
190 Drake MVC 0.4296 -2
191 Vermont AE 0.4287 -2
192 Saint Peter's MAAC 0.4251 -2
193 Boston University Pat 0.4213 -1
194 Lipscomb ASun 0.4199 -1
195 Robert Morris NEC 0.4194 -1
196 Eastern Kentucky OVC 0.4190 -1
197 Virginia Tech ACC 0.4156 -1
198 USC Upstate ASun 0.4102 0
199 Florida Atlantic CUSA 0.4098 0
200 Wright St. Horz 0.4094 0
201 Morehead St. OVC 0.4064 0
202 Winthrop BSth 0.4042 0
203 Incarnate Word Slnd 0.4021 0
204 TCU B12 0.4005 2
205 VMI SC 0.3990 -1
206 Towson CAA 0.3981 -1
207 Delaware CAA 0.3935 0
208 Nevada MWC 0.3935 0
209 Seattle WAC 0.3917 0
210 Rider MAAC 0.3908 0
211 Cal St. Northridge BW 0.3904 0
212 Fairfield MAAC 0.3892 0
213 St. Francis NY NEC 0.3875 0
214 Bowling Green MAC 0.3861 0
215 Southeast Missouri St. OVC 0.3847 0
216 Texas A&M Corpus Chris Slnd 0.3842 0
217 Colgate Pat 0.3826 0
218 College of Charleston CAA 0.3817 0
219 Mississippi St. SEC 0.3756 0
220 Montana BSky 0.3742 0
221 Charleston Southern BSth 0.3733 0
222 Idaho BSky 0.3691 0
223 Hampton MEAC 0.3674 0
224 Central Connecticut NEC 0.3644 0
225 Northern Arizona BSky 0.3573 0
226 Sacramento St. BSky 0.3558 0
227 Hawaii BW 0.3551 0
228 Miami OH MAC 0.3520 0
229 Bradley MVC 0.3514 0
230 Marist MAAC 0.3514 0
231 South Dakota Sum 0.3498 0
232 South Alabama SB 0.3441 0
233 Cal St. Fullerton BW 0.3392 0
234 Loyola MD Pat 0.3389 0
235 Milwaukee Horz 0.3362 0
236 Utah St. MWC 0.3360 0
237 Mount St. Mary's NEC 0.3358 0
238 Bryant NEC 0.3350 0
239 Canisius MAAC 0.3345 0
240 East Tennessee St. SC 0.3337 0
241 UC Davis BW 0.3327 0
242 Oakland Horz 0.3308 0
243 UAB CUSA 0.3254 0
244 Pacific WCC 0.3224 0
245 Alabama St. SWAC 0.3177 0
246 Western Illinois Sum 0.3174 0
247 NJIT ind 0.3104 0
248 Eastern Michigan MAC 0.3093 0
249 FIU CUSA 0.3058 0
250 Gardner Webb BSth 0.2972 0
251 Northern Colorado BSky 0.2960 0
252 Youngstown St. Horz 0.2942 0
253 James Madison CAA 0.2936 0
254 Albany AE 0.2925 0
255 Monmouth MAAC 0.2843 0
256 Northern Illinois MAC 0.2798 0
257 Elon SC 0.2687 0
258 Loyola Marymount WCC 0.2554 0
259 Navy Pat 0.2549 1
260 Nebraska Omaha Sum 0.2532 -1
261 North Texas CUSA 0.2525 0
262 South Florida Amer 0.2523 0
263 Jacksonville St. OVC 0.2507 0
264 Wagner NEC 0.2503 0
265 St. Francis PA NEC 0.2501 0
266 Chattanooga SC 0.2491 0
267 Sacred Heart NEC 0.2458 0
268 Texas Southern SWAC 0.2444 0
269 UT Arlington SB 0.2430 0
270 Utah Valley WAC 0.2429 0
271 Grand Canyon WAC 0.2391 0
272 Penn Ivy 0.2348 0
273 San Jose St. MWC 0.2336 0
274 Portland St. BSky 0.2250 0
275 Marshall CUSA 0.2241 0
276 Morgan St. MEAC 0.2240 0
277 Western Carolina SC 0.2237 0
278 LIU Brooklyn NEC 0.2234 0
279 Illinois Chicago Horz 0.2212 0
280 UC Riverside BW 0.2163 0
281 SIU Edwardsville OVC 0.2127 0
282 Tennessee Tech OVC 0.2122 0
283 Eastern Illinois OVC 0.2114 0
284 Austin Peay OVC 0.2111 0
285 Southeastern Louisiana Slnd 0.2102 0
286 Arkansas St. SB 0.2058 0
287 Savannah St. MEAC 0.2053 0
288 Howard MEAC 0.2040 0
289 Niagara MAAC 0.1987 0
290 Bethune Cookman MEAC 0.1975 0
291 Hofstra CAA 0.1944 0
292 Maine AE 0.1938 0
293 Southern SWAC 0.1908 0
294 Arkansas Pine Bluff SWAC 0.1896 0
295 UNC Greensboro SC 0.1854 0
296 UNC Wilmington CAA 0.1840 0
297 Delaware St. MEAC 0.1831 0
298 Texas St. SB 0.1831 0
299 Campbell BSth 0.1812 0
300 Furman SC 0.1783 0
301 Presbyterian BSth 0.1740 0
302 Georgia Southern SB 0.1716 0
303 Appalachian St. SB 0.1698 0
304 North Dakota BSky 0.1690 0
305 Cal St. Bakersfield WAC 0.1689 0
306 The Citadel SC 0.1674 0
307 McNeese St. Slnd 0.1641 0
308 Southern Utah BSky 0.1639 0
309 Tennessee St. OVC 0.1625 0
310 New Hampshire AE 0.1609 0
311 Norfolk St. MEAC 0.1566 0
312 Montana St. BSky 0.1561 0
313 Liberty BSth 0.1523 0
314 Jackson St. SWAC 0.1459 0
315 Coppin St. MEAC 0.1443 0
316 Rice CUSA 0.1409 0
317 Kennesaw St. ASun 0.1395 0
318 Louisiana Monroe SB 0.1360 0
319 UMKC WAC 0.1325 0
320 Cornell Ivy 0.1304 0
321 Prairie View A&M SWAC 0.1256 0
322 Idaho St. BSky 0.1239 0
323 Nicholls St. Slnd 0.1225 0
324 UTSA CUSA 0.1214 0
325 UMBC AE 0.1171 0
326 Fairleigh Dickinson NEC 0.1160 0
327 Texas Pan American WAC 0.1133 0
328 Tennessee Martin OVC 0.1091 0
329 Ball St. MAC 0.1077 0
330 UMass Lowell AE 0.1059 0
331 Binghamton AE 0.1048 0
332 Jacksonville ASun 0.1032 0
333 Troy SB 0.0983 0
334 Chicago St. WAC 0.0976 0
335 IUPUI Sum 0.0911 0
336 Abilene Christian Slnd 0.0891 0
337 Mississippi Valley St. SWAC 0.0885 0
338 Stetson ASun 0.0862 0
339 Alcorn St. SWAC 0.0818 0
340 North Carolina A&T MEAC 0.0777 0
341 Houston Baptist Slnd 0.0756 0
342 Samford SC 0.0720 0
343 Maryland Eastern Shore MEAC 0.0663 0
344 New Orleans Slnd 0.0641 0
345 Central Arkansas Slnd 0.0553 0
346 South Carolina St. MEAC 0.0543 0
347 Alabama A&M SWAC 0.0473 0
348 Lamar Slnd 0.0433 0
349 Florida A&M MEAC 0.0427 0
350 Longwood BSth 0.0415 0
351 Grambling St. SWAC 0.0201 0