Badgers' Big Ten schedule

The Big Ten finally released its conference basketball schedule today—well, at least the pairings. Here's the Badgers' schedule, ordered by Torvik Thrill Quotient:

 

Based on the current preseason T-Rank projections, such as they are, it's the 4th toughest conference slate, and T-Rank projects the Badgers to go 9-9 and tie for 5th place. 

Here's a more subjective take:

Big favorite:

IU

OSU

Illinois

Nebraska

Slight Favorite:

at Rutgers

at Nebraska

Michigan

Minnesota

Northwestern

Pick em:

Purdue

at Illinois

at Penn St.

Slight Underdog:

at Iowa

MSU

at Maryland

at Northwestern

Book an L:

at MSU

at Purdue

Based on this, we've got four games in the "should win," two games in the "won't win," and 12 games that could easily go either way. Based on that, I'd say 10 wins is the target. That would likely be enough to get into the tournament, and could well extend the "top 4" streak. If I were setting an over/under, I'd probably go with 9.5.

What do you think, Chorlton?