"Hot" Teams Continue to Struggle

When I compared simulations using the Kenpom data to simulations using Dan Hanner's last-10 games data, these were the eight teams whose chances of making the Sweet 16 increased the most:

None of these teams made the Sweet 16.

I don't want to make too much of this. Even using the the full-season data, the chances that none of these eight teams would make the Sweet 16 was very small (less than a 2% chance).

On the flip side, here are the eight teams whose chances of making the Sweet 16 were most decreased using the last-10 data:

Four of the top five coldest teams are still alive.

More Torvistically significant results.