I have started this year 2-0 getting both the spread and o/u last week against Northwestern. UW is a 25 1/2 point favorite at home this week against IL and the o/u is 58. IL is missing their starting quarterback, they are not a good team to start with, and UW plays well at home. This has inflated the spread which seems high for a team that only scored 14 against Northwestern and struggled to score 27 at home against another terrible team- South Florida.
I'm on board the Stave bandwagon. The Stave effect will blow up this week, and I predict UW will cover the spread. I'm taking the over this week and as a prop bet I will take UW to cover the over by themselves. Final score prediction 63-7.