T-RANK 2015

College basketball season started today. Well, practice anyway. This also marks the end of my off-season project to improve the T-Rank. I have expanded it to all 351 teams after last year's pilot project. And I've done my best to keep up with hundreds of transfers, etc. I'm sure I've failed. But you've got to draw line somewhere, and here's mine.

There will be outliers, of course, but overall I'm pretty happy with how this turned out. Louisville at number one sticks out, but everyone thinks they're a contender with Harrell back, so I'm not too worried about that. ESPN came out with their "top 25 teams to watch" a few days ago, and 22 of them are in the T-Rank top 25. Harvard (47), UConn (40) and San Diego St. (30) are replaced in the T-Rank top 25 by Pitt (19), Kansas St. (21), and Colorado (25). So the top 18 teams in the T-Rank are in the ESPN top 25.

I plan to have a bunch of follow up posts using the T-Rank data over at Bucky's Fifth Quarter, but I thought it would be good to just get the whole list out in the open now. Here it is!

UPDATE: Because I can't help myself, I'll continue to add transfer / injury data so that the final T-Rank on Basketball Eve is as good as it can be. Change in rank from originally published ranking is noted in fifth column.

UPDATE 11/6: Hopefully this will be the final update. Felt I needed to account for the news that Alex Rosenberg, of Columbia, is out for the year. As you can see, this is devastating to their T-Rank.

T-Rank	Team	Conf.	Pyth Proj	Rank Change
1	Louisville	ACC	0.9577	0
2	Kansas	B12	0.9527	0
3	Arizona	P12	0.9466	0
4	Wisconsin	B10	0.9464	0
5	Gonzaga	WCC	0.9404	0
6	Duke	ACC	0.9335	0
7	Kentucky	SEC	0.9323	0
8	North Carolina	ACC	0.9313	0
9	Michigan St.	B10	0.9289	0
10	Virginia	ACC	0.9232	0
11	Florida	SEC	0.9187	0
12	Wichita St.	MVC	0.9144	0
13	Iowa St.	B12	0.9121	0
14	Pittsburgh	ACC	0.9080	5
15	Michigan	B10	0.9051	0
16	Oklahoma	B12	0.9032	0
17	Ohio St.	B10	0.8982	0
18	Villanova	BE	0.8970	0
19	Texas	B12	0.8922	-5
20	Kansas St.	B12	0.8922	1
21	VCU	A10	0.8898	-1
22	Mississippi	SEC	0.8861	10
23	SMU	Amer	0.8767	-1
24	Syracuse	ACC	0.8550	-1
25	Utah	P12	0.8546	-1
26	Colorado	P12	0.8531	-1
27	Minnesota	B10	0.8506	-1
28	Iowa	B10	0.8465	-1
29	Alabama	SEC	0.8460	10
30	Northern Iowa	MVC	0.8443	-2
31	Illinois	B10	0.8401	-2
32	San Diego St.	MWC	0.8349	-2
33	North Carolina St.	ACC	0.8321	-2
34	Baylor	B12	0.8267	-1
35	Notre Dame	ACC	0.8253	-1
36	Indiana	B10	0.8211	-1
37	BYU	WCC	0.8050	0
38	Butler	BE	0.8047	-2
39	Nebraska	B10	0.8039	-1
40	Connecticut	Amer	0.8027	0
41	Creighton	BE	0.7885	1
42	West Virginia	B12	0.7845	18
43	Memphis	Amer	0.7836	19
44	UCLA	P12	0.7834	-1
45	Miami FL	ACC	0.7816	-1
46	Florida St.	ACC	0.7799	-1
47	Stanford	P12	0.7793	-1
48	Harvard	Ivy	0.7775	-1
49	Murray St.	OVC	0.7745	-1
50	Georgetown	BE	0.7722	-1
51	Oklahoma St.	B12	0.7679	-1
52	Saint Mary's	WCC	0.7651	-1
53	UC Irvine	BW	0.7626	-1
54	California	P12	0.7540	-1
55	Washington	P12	0.7523	25
56	Tennessee	SEC	0.7493	3
57	Dayton	A10	0.7492	-3
58	Green Bay	Horz	0.7480	-3
59	Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.7476	-3
60	Cincinnati	Amer	0.7465	-3
61	Arkansas	SEC	0.7454	-3
62	New Mexico	MWC	0.7424	-1
63	LSU	SEC	0.7345	20
64	Denver	Sum	0.7331	-1
65	Colorado St.	MWC	0.7295	-1
66	Siena	MAAC	0.7293	-1
67	Belmont	OVC	0.7281	-1
68	Purdue	B10	0.7277	25
69	La Salle	A10	0.7275	34
70	Maryland	B10	0.7262	-3
71	Richmond	A10	0.7252	19
72	Georgia St.	SB	0.7242	-2
73	Boise St.	MWC	0.7238	-5
74	George Washington	A10	0.7232	-3
75	Boston College	ACC	0.7228	-6
76	Toledo	MAC	0.7227	-4
77	Xavier	BE	0.7190	-4
78	Marquette	BE	0.7174	-1
79	Georgia	SEC	0.7174	-5
80	Louisiana Tech	CUSA	0.7169	19
81	New Mexico St.	WAC	0.7112	-6
82	Massachusetts	A10	0.7092	10
83	Evansville	MVC	0.7089	-7
84	Tulsa	Amer	0.7062	-6
85	Rhode Island	A10	0.7061	9
86	Saint Louis	A10	0.7049	-7
87	Clemson	ACC	0.6973	-6
88	Davidson	A10	0.6971	-6
89	Iona	MAAC	0.6889	-5
90	Fresno St.	MWC	0.6880	-5
91	South Carolina	SEC	0.6859	-5
92	Seton Hall	BE	0.6851	-5
93	UNLV	MWC	0.6837	-5
94	UTEP	CUSA	0.6832	-5
95	Texas A&M	SEC	0.6788	-4
96	St. John's	BE	0.6740	-1
97	Penn St.	B10	0.6652	-1
98	Old Dominion	CUSA	0.6640	-1
99	Wyoming	MWC	0.6611	2
100	Oregon	P12	0.6564	-2
101	Manhattan	MAAC	0.6557	-1
102	Long Beach St.	BW	0.6493	0
103	Lafayette	Pat	0.6452	1
104	Columbia	Ivy	0.6354	-63
105	Princeton	Ivy	0.6337	0
106	American	Pat	0.6311	0
107	Saint Joseph's	A10	0.6273	0
108	Missouri	SEC	0.6222	16
109	San Diego	WCC	0.6173	7
110	St. Bonaventure	A10	0.6162	-2
111	Illinois St.	MVC	0.6152	-2
112	Northeastern	CAA	0.6063	-2
113	San Francisco	WCC	0.6041	-2
114	Portland	WCC	0.6033	-2
115	Holy Cross	Pat	0.6004	-2
116	Western Michigan	MAC	0.6003	38
117	Georgia Tech	ACC	0.5989	9
118	Army	Pat	0.5986	-4
119	Arizona St.	P12	0.5941	0
120	Southern Miss	CUSA	0.5936	-5
121	Providence	BE	0.5866	8
122	Middle Tennessee	CUSA	0.5830	-4
123	Akron	MAC	0.5768	-3
124	Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.5751	-3
125	Charlotte	CUSA	0.5727	-3
126	Yale	Ivy	0.5666	-3
127	Temple	Amer	0.5647	-2
128	Santa Clara	WCC	0.5634	-1
129	Brown	Ivy	0.5616	-1
130	Auburn	SEC	0.5555	14
131	Radford	BSth	0.5547	-1
132	Dartmouth	Ivy	0.5521	-1
133	Tulane	Amer	0.5518	-1
134	George Mason	A10	0.5475	-1
135	Detroit	Horz	0.5441	-1
136	East Carolina	Amer	0.5387	-1
137	Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.5384	-1
138	Rutgers	B10	0.5380	-1
139	Missouri St.	MVC	0.5344	-1
140	USC	P12	0.5290	51
141	Texas Tech	B12	0.5284	-1
142	Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.5269	-3
143	North Dakota St.	Sum	0.5227	-2
144	Valparaiso	Horz	0.5219	-2
145	Cleveland St.	Horz	0.5206	-28
146	Kent St.	MAC	0.5172	-3
147	Northwestern	B10	0.5155	3
148	Indiana St.	MVC	0.5107	-3
149	Wake Forest	ACC	0.5090	-3
150	UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.5015	-3
151	Buffalo	MAC	0.4963	-3
152	Eastern Washington	BSky	0.4936	-3
153	Duquesne	A10	0.4903	-2
154	Wofford	SC	0.4888	-2
155	Central Michigan	MAC	0.4882	-2
156	UCF	Amer	0.4787	-1
157	Oral Roberts	Sum	0.4782	-1
158	South Dakota St.	Sum	0.4774	-1
159	William & Mary	CAA	0.4770	-1
160	Southern Illinois	MVC	0.4728	-1
161	Drexel	CAA	0.4698	-1
162	Washington St.	P12	0.4696	-1
163	Quinnipiac	MAAC	0.4671	-1
164	Weber St.	BSky	0.4668	-1
165	High Point	BSth	0.4661	-1
166	Bucknell	Pat	0.4641	-1
167	Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.4631	2
168	IPFW	Sum	0.4622	-2
169	North Florida	ASun	0.4618	-2
170	Hartford	AE	0.4614	-2
171	Oregon St.	P12	0.4586	-1
172	Cal Poly	BW	0.4578	-1
173	Mercer	SC	0.4567	-1
174	UNC Asheville	BSth	0.4567	-1
175	Loyola Chicago	MVC	0.4554	-1
176	Ohio	MAC	0.4532	-1
177	North Carolina Central	MEAC	0.4480	-1
178	Houston	Amer	0.4453	19
179	Vanderbilt	SEC	0.4432	-2
180	Pepperdine	WCC	0.4428	-2
181	Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.4392	-2
182	Northern Kentucky	ASun	0.4379	-2
183	Air Force	MWC	0.4375	-2
184	Stony Brook	AE	0.4346	-2
185	Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.4340	-2
186	Western Kentucky	CUSA	0.4335	-2
187	Fordham	A10	0.4327	-2
188	DePaul	BE	0.4320	-2
189	Lehigh	Pat	0.4310	-2
190	Drake	MVC	0.4296	-2
191	Vermont	AE	0.4287	-2
192	Saint Peter's	MAAC	0.4279	-2
193	Boston University	Pat	0.4213	-1
194	Lipscomb	ASun	0.4199	-1
195	Robert Morris	NEC	0.4194	-1
196	Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.4190	-1
197	Virginia Tech	ACC	0.4156	-1
198	USC Upstate	ASun	0.4102	0
199	Florida Atlantic	CUSA	0.4098	0
200	Wright St.	Horz	0.4094	0
201	Morehead St.	OVC	0.4064	0
202	Winthrop	BSth	0.4042	0
203	Incarnate Word	Slnd	0.4021	0
204	VMI	SC	0.4016	0
205	Towson	CAA	0.4007	0
206	TCU	B12	0.4005	0
207	Delaware	CAA	0.3935	0
208	Nevada	MWC	0.3935	0
209	Seattle	WAC	0.3917	0
210	Rider	MAAC	0.3908	0
211	Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.3904	0
212	Fairfield	MAAC	0.3892	0
213	St. Francis NY	NEC	0.3875	0
214	Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.3867	2
215	Bowling Green	MAC	0.3861	-1
216	Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.3847	-1
217	Colgate	Pat	0.3826	0
218	College of Charleston	CAA	0.3817	0
219	Mississippi St.	SEC	0.3756	0
220	Montana	BSky	0.3742	0
221	Charleston Southern	BSth	0.3733	0
222	Idaho	BSky	0.3691	0
223	Hampton	MEAC	0.3674	0
224	Central Connecticut	NEC	0.3644	0
225	Northern Arizona	BSky	0.3598	0
226	Sacramento St.	BSky	0.3558	0
227	Hawaii	BW	0.3551	0
228	Miami OH	MAC	0.3520	0
229	Bradley	MVC	0.3514	0
230	Marist	MAAC	0.3514	0
231	South Dakota	Sum	0.3498	0
232	South Alabama	SB	0.3441	0
233	Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.3392	0
234	Loyola MD	Pat	0.3389	0
235	Milwaukee	Horz	0.3362	0
236	Utah St.	MWC	0.3360	0
237	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.3358	0
238	Bryant	NEC	0.3350	0
239	Canisius	MAAC	0.3345	0
240	East Tennessee St.	SC	0.3337	0
241	UC Davis	BW	0.3327	0
242	Oakland	Horz	0.3308	0
243	UAB	CUSA	0.3254	0
244	Pacific	WCC	0.3224	0
245	Alabama St.	SWAC	0.3177	0
246	Western Illinois	Sum	0.3174	0
247	NJIT	ind	0.3104	0
248	Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.3093	0
249	FIU	CUSA	0.3058	0
250	Gardner Webb	BSth	0.2972	0
251	Northern Colorado	BSky	0.2960	0
252	Youngstown St.	Horz	0.2942	0
253	James Madison	CAA	0.2936	0
254	Albany	AE	0.2925	0
255	Monmouth	MAAC	0.2843	0
256	Northern Illinois	MAC	0.2798	0
257	Elon	SC	0.2687	0
258	Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.2554	0
259	Nebraska Omaha	Sum	0.2552	0
260	Navy	Pat	0.2549	0
261	North Texas	CUSA	0.2525	0
262	South Florida	Amer	0.2523	0
263	Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.2507	0
264	Wagner	NEC	0.2503	0
265	St. Francis PA	NEC	0.2501	0
266	Chattanooga	SC	0.2491	0
267	Sacred Heart	NEC	0.2458	0
268	Texas Southern	SWAC	0.2444	0
269	UT Arlington	SB	0.2430	0
270	Utah Valley	WAC	0.2429	0
271	Grand Canyon	WAC	0.2391	0
272	Penn	Ivy	0.2348	0
273	San Jose St.	MWC	0.2336	0
274	Portland St.	BSky	0.2250	0
275	Marshall	CUSA	0.2241	0
276	Morgan St.	MEAC	0.2240	0
277	Western Carolina	SC	0.2237	0
278	LIU Brooklyn	NEC	0.2234	0
279	Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.2212	0
280	UC Riverside	BW	0.2163	0
281	SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.2127	0
282	Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.2122	0
283	Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.2114	0
284	Austin Peay	OVC	0.2111	0
285	Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.2102	0
286	Arkansas St.	SB	0.2058	0
287	Savannah St.	MEAC	0.2053	0
288	Howard	MEAC	0.2040	0
289	Niagara	MAAC	0.1987	0
290	Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.1975	0
291	Hofstra	CAA	0.1944	0
292	Maine	AE	0.1938	0
293	Southern	SWAC	0.1908	0
294	Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.1896	0
295	UNC Greensboro	SC	0.1854	0
296	UNC Wilmington	CAA	0.1840	0
297	Delaware St.	MEAC	0.1831	0
298	Texas St.	SB	0.1831	0
299	Campbell	BSth	0.1812	0
300	Furman	SC	0.1783	0
301	Presbyterian	BSth	0.1740	0
302	Georgia Southern	SB	0.1716	0
303	Appalachian St.	SB	0.1698	0
304	North Dakota	BSky	0.1690	0
305	Cal St. Bakersfield	WAC	0.1689	0
306	The Citadel	SC	0.1674	0
307	McNeese St.	Slnd	0.1641	0
308	Southern Utah	BSky	0.1639	0
309	Tennessee St.	OVC	0.1625	0
310	New Hampshire	AE	0.1609	0
311	Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.1566	0
312	Montana St.	BSky	0.1561	0
313	Liberty	BSth	0.1523	0
314	Jackson St.	SWAC	0.1459	0
315	Coppin St.	MEAC	0.1443	0
316	Rice	CUSA	0.1409	0
317	Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.1395	0
318	Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.1360	0
319	UMKC	WAC	0.1325	0
320	Cornell	Ivy	0.1304	0
321	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.1256	0
322	Idaho St.	BSky	0.1239	0
323	Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.1225	0
324	UTSA	CUSA	0.1214	0
325	UMBC	AE	0.1171	0
326	Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.1160	0
327	Texas Pan American	WAC	0.1133	0
328	Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.1091	0
329	Ball St.	MAC	0.1077	0
330	UMass Lowell	AE	0.1059	0
331	Binghamton	AE	0.1048	0
332	Jacksonville	ASun	0.1032	0
333	Troy	SB	0.0983	0
334	Chicago St.	WAC	0.0976	0
335	IUPUI	Sum	0.0911	0
336	Abilene Christian	Slnd	0.0891	0
337	Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.0885	0
338	Stetson	ASun	0.0862	0
339	Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.0818	0
340	North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.0777	0
341	Houston Baptist	Slnd	0.0756	0
342	Samford	SC	0.0720	0
343	Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.0663	0
344	New Orleans	Slnd	0.0641	0
345	Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.0553	0
346	South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.0543	0
347	Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.0473	0
348	Lamar	Slnd	0.0433	0
349	Florida A&M	MEAC	0.0427	0
350	Longwood	BSth	0.0415	0
351	Grambling St.	SWAC	0.0201	0