Monday, November 24, 2014

B1G Hoops day

A bunch of Big Ten teams are in holiday tournament action today, and most of the match-ups figure to be sneakily interesting. Every B1G team will be favored, but I expected at least 1 or 2 losses. In fact, it looks like Purdue might lose to Kansas St. already (they're down 9 in the second half as I write this).

Matchup T-Rank Prediction TTQ
26 Purdue vs. 52 Kansas St. Purdue, 70-66 (64%)  73
22 Michigan vs. 51 Oregon Michigan, 74-70 (65%)  73
64 Arizona St. vs. 27 Maryland Maryland, 69-64 (67%) 68
126 Eastern Washington @ 49 Indiana Indiana, 85-73 (84%) 52
135 Pepperdine @ 23 Iowa Iowa, 81-66 (91%) 50
137 Santa Clara @ 18 Michigan St. Michigan St., 79-63 (93%) 46
200 Brown @ 24 Illinois Illinois, 81-62 (95%) 42

A few of the B1G teams seem overrated based on cupcake victories and are facing their first significant competition. Notably Purdue.

I think Michigan handles Oregon, which is overrated even at 51. But it will be a decent neutral court test.

Maryland is another squad that's too high at 27. They could easily lose to ASU.

The sneakiest of the sneakers is Eastern Washington at Indiana. Hoosiers struggled a bit against Lamar. Eastern Washington is a lot better than Lamar. This is my first UPSET SPECIAL PICK of the year. 

1 comment:

  1. Nice prediction. IU's defense looks terrible. Even I may be able to get in the lane against that D.