Monday, November 21, 2016

UW Minnesota

I am now 8-3 after UW covered again last week. UW is on quite a streak having covered 9 of 11 games this season. UW is a 14 point favorite over Minnesota and the over/under is 44.

Minnesota is kind of interesting. They have 8 wins, but only one against a team that is above .500- Colorado State who is 6-5. They have lost all 3 games they have played against quality opponents, but 2 were on the road and they lost all 3 by no more than one score. So who is Minnesota? Are they the team that just barely beat Rutgers by 2 at home, or the team that lost by 3 in overtime @PSU?

Minnesota has a stout run defense giving up just 116 yards/game on the ground. The pass defense is not as good at 235 yards/game. Minnesota is 16th in the country with 33 sacks, but against Iowa, Nebraska and PSU they totaled only 2. They also lost or tied the turnover battle in all 3 of those games.

I don't think Minnesota will win this game, but can they keep it close with solid run defense like they did against Iowa and Nebraska? 14 points would be Minnesota's biggest loss of the season x2. Minnesota is the highest scoring team in the Big Ten West at 228 points in conference play, but I don't think this holds up against the UW defense.

I am going to keep riding the hot hand. UW wins and covers.

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