Wednesday, November 30, 2016


After a bad first half, UW rallied against Minnesota to earn me the first push of the season to get to 8-3-1. UW is now 9-2-1 against the spread. They are a 2.5 point favorite against PSU and the over under is 47.5.

The Big Ten Championship has been all over the board. 2 games were decided by just 3 points, 2 games were utter blow outs, and 1 was won by a comfortable 10 point margin. The first 4 were high scoring affairs with anywhere from 58 to 101 total points scored, but last year's game was 16-13.

These 2 teams have remarkably similar resumes. UW has has a tougher strength of schedule, but PSU has the best win, over OSU. Both teams have 2 losses, but UW has 2 close losses @MI by 7 and vs OSU in overtime, while PSU lost @Pitt by 3, but got obliterated @MI 49-10. In their 6 games against common Big Ten opponents (OSU, MI, MSU, Iowa, Minn, Purdue) the point differentials are almost the same- PSU 211-146=65  UW 157-96=61. Both teams are on winning streaks with UW at 6 consecutive wins while PSU is at 8.

UW goes into this game about as healthy as they have been this year with the same O-line starters for the past few games, and Biegel, Jamerson, and Sagapolu should all play. I'm taking Bucky to cover in this one yet again.

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