Wednesday, November 5, 2014

The T-Rank+ Terrific Top 30!

Sorry that I did not get this published yesterday, as promised. I know that many of you were constantly pressing "reload" waiting for this to come. But your wait has been rewarded - the T-Rank+ Terrific Top 30 is below.

The most notable result, to me, is how close the top 6 teams are - basically microscopic differences. In fact, they are so close that if you change the method of averaging, you can get different results. These results come from averaging the OE and DE for each team in the T-Rank, KenPom, and Hanner ratings, and then calculating a Pythagorean expectancy. However, if you just averaged the Pythags for each team in the T-Rank, Kenpom, and Hanner, you'd get Kentucky on top.

One small caveat: the source for Hanner's rating is from the article published at SI.com, which gives OE and DE values rounded to one-tenth of a point. If you calculate a pythag on those rounded results, some of the very close teams switch positions. But we're talking about very minor differences.

Trank+ Team Conf. T+OE T+DE Barthag
1 Louisville ACC 116.4 90.6 0.9473
2 Kentucky SEC 120.2 93.7 0.9460
3 Kansas B12 118.1 92.3 0.9445
4 Duke ACC 122.0 95.3 0.9444
5 Arizona P12 117.5 91.9 0.9437
6 Wisconsin B10 118.9 93.4 0.9412
7 Florida SEC 115.9 93.2 0.9246
8 Virginia ACC 113.0 91.6 0.9172
9 Gonzaga WCC 116.2 95.0 0.9099
10 Villanova BE 115.1 94.3 0.9078
11 North Carolina ACC 115.0 94.7 0.9031
12 Wichita St. MVC 115.2 95.1 0.9014
13 Michigan St. B10 113.3 94.2 0.8942
14 Ohio St. B10 110.6 92.2 0.8907
15 Texas B12 113.7 95.0 0.8877
16 Iowa St. B12 116.9 97.8 0.8864
17 VCU A10 112.0 94.1 0.8815
18 Michigan B10 117.9 99.2 0.8798
19 Pittsburgh ACC 114.0 96.5 0.8715
20 Syracuse ACC 110.8 94.0 0.8681
21 Oklahoma B12 115.3 98.0 0.8664
22 SMU Amer 111.7 95.2 0.8625
23 Kansas St. B12 111.5 95.1 0.8612
24 San Diego St. MWC 109.1 93.3 0.8583
25 Connecticut Amer 110.7 95.0 0.8522
26 Iowa B10 115.4 99.5 0.8458
27 Utah P12 111.7 96.9 0.8355
28 UCLA P12 112.1 97.6 0.8311
29 Georgetown BE 110.8 96.6 0.8295
30 Minnesota B10 112.4 98.3 0.8248

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